John Cranley? Awesome.
New polling from Constituent Dynamics - sorry it is kind of blurry
Visit John Cranley for Congress. Ohio-1 is NW of Cincinnati (map). The fact that seats like this are in play gives me a good feeling about the Democrats taking back the house. Hat Tip: Buckeye State Blog
Visit John Cranley for Congress. Ohio-1 is NW of Cincinnati (map). The fact that seats like this are in play gives me a good feeling about the Democrats taking back the house. Hat Tip: Buckeye State Blog
By Kyle - 10/31/2006
15 Comments:
It seems clear we will take the house, barring any crisis (i.e., an unending series of classic republican vote suppression)
If people like Steve Chabot are losing, then we are going to get killed across the country. I dont think he is losing. I think things are going to be very, very close in the House.
Agreed on Chabot.
Honestly, I am trusting polling less and less. There are too many errors to account for in how they are conducted.
what amazes me is that schmidt is over 50%
I listened to Air America yesterday and victory is already a done deal. Only way it wont happen is if the Reps. steal the election as they did in 2000 and 2004 according to them. We had a flawed but functioning voting system but the liberals intenstince on making it "perfect" is creating not only a system that is more flawed but increasigly open to massive fraud. Now you want to destroy any faith of the voters in their vote counting. WONDERFUL
Folks do you think the polls are accurate or designed to favor a certain outcome?
perfect fred. blame voter disenfranchisement on liberals!!!!!!
don't point the finger at the SOS's like Ken Blackwell or Katherine Harris. ignore the unnecessary long lines. ignore the FACT that Florida voters wanted Al Gore, but were denied the ability to elect him. IGNORE ALL THAT AND BLAME DEMOCATS!!!!!!!!!
a disgraceful position.
House polling is so hit and miss, much more so than Senate. Hard to stay within boundaries of a district.
Kyle and I were talking one night - its just hard to believe that asking 600-800 people for a whole state is enough to extrapolate on.....thats less then 100 people per county in Ohio.
Tim
Exactly. How many people have house phones, answer them, and are willing to talk to pollsters?
Polls are inaccurate.
First, it is unlikely a republican would answer a telephone survey because he is probably too tired from working at the firm or making rounds at the hospital.
Second, it is more likely a democrat would answer a telephone survey because she usually doesn't work and enjoys the human interaction.
Just a one sided thought.
Good luck next week democrats. Maybe the winds of change are upon us.
Anything's possible.
Polls are becoming more typically innacurate, based on reasons many of you mentioned. Polls in House races are swinging everywhere, and frankly most of the ones out there are paid polls by a campaign, gee i wonder what the results will be? The Senate polls have been more stable...and done by more reputable firms for the most part.
weighting the polls anymore is so important - it is harder to get ahold of Republicans. That VA Senate poll by Rasmussen was done entirely on Sunday - historically a bad day for Republicans in polling - i dont buy the poll. Alot of these polls I see w/ no undecideds I dont put a whole lot of stock into. That means the pollster is beating these people for an answer, and if you dont have one a week or two out, you probably arent showing up in a midterm election.
But I as well find it amazing that a sample of 400 can be represented for an entire state. That makes me not always believe them.
chuck's a liar. polling locations in ohio are determined by 176 political appointees to county boards of elections - 88 rep, 88 dem. equal. there was no conspiracy to disenfranchise democrats in 2004.
junk politics, junk analysis. chuck is junky.
Anonymous, whatever you say. Facts are facts I suppose. If you want to call it a coincidence that all the long lines were in democratic districts, fine.
no response, again, when i point out freds disgraceful double-standards
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