Fight for Ohio Five Heats Up To a Simmer
We're just 16 days from the December 11th special election in Ohio's Fifth Congressional District, and candidates Robin Weirauch (D) and Bob Latta (R) are the final challengers in the race. Representative Paul Gillmor passed away on September 5, 2007, making a special election necessary to fill his seat in Congress.
District 5 covers roughly 16 counties surrounding Toledo, but does not cross over into the city limits. A traditionally conservative region of Ohio, District 5's boundaries were redrawn after the 2000 Census in a way that some may claim were to secure the success of GOP candidates, even though the district boasts Republican representation since 1938.
This race leaves me scratching my head for several reasons.
While Latta and Steve Buehrer duked it out during the primary fighting over who was more conservative and less fond of Taft's tax hikes, the Democratic primary was eerily calm; so much so that prior to the last filing deadline, Ms. Weirauch had raised significantly less than even the late Rep. Gillmor. With total receipts around $50K, Weirauch's finance report is a laugh compared to the reports of Latta and Buehrer which equal about ten times that much combined. Sure, she may have had some success since October 17th-especially with the help of her $5,000 fundraiser... ?
Weirauch's name recognition is decent, as this is her third run for Ohio 5 (she lost in 2006 to Rep. Gillmor by nearly 14 percent of the vote) and her list of endorsements is respectable.
Yet still, she is running an amateur's campaign at best. Here is an example of a Weirauch primary ad that makes me cringe with embarrassment.
Some say this is Latta's race to lose-I would whole-heartedly disagree. Democrats seem to have forfeited. Voters, donors, activists, *the Party*-where are you? I know you're not busy helping other candidates on a typically busy Election Day. Please come to the rescue of Robin Weirauch.
District 5 covers roughly 16 counties surrounding Toledo, but does not cross over into the city limits. A traditionally conservative region of Ohio, District 5's boundaries were redrawn after the 2000 Census in a way that some may claim were to secure the success of GOP candidates, even though the district boasts Republican representation since 1938.
This race leaves me scratching my head for several reasons.
While Latta and Steve Buehrer duked it out during the primary fighting over who was more conservative and less fond of Taft's tax hikes, the Democratic primary was eerily calm; so much so that prior to the last filing deadline, Ms. Weirauch had raised significantly less than even the late Rep. Gillmor. With total receipts around $50K, Weirauch's finance report is a laugh compared to the reports of Latta and Buehrer which equal about ten times that much combined. Sure, she may have had some success since October 17th-especially with the help of her $5,000 fundraiser... ?
Weirauch's name recognition is decent, as this is her third run for Ohio 5 (she lost in 2006 to Rep. Gillmor by nearly 14 percent of the vote) and her list of endorsements is respectable.
Yet still, she is running an amateur's campaign at best. Here is an example of a Weirauch primary ad that makes me cringe with embarrassment.
Some say this is Latta's race to lose-I would whole-heartedly disagree. Democrats seem to have forfeited. Voters, donors, activists, *the Party*-where are you? I know you're not busy helping other candidates on a typically busy Election Day. Please come to the rescue of Robin Weirauch.
By Annie - 11/26/2007
13 Comments:
Cringe is right. That's just weird.
I kept expecting Willie Coyote to drop an anvil on her or something.
Just a terrible ad. It reminds me of the movies they make you watch on planes about safety.
$50,000 is terrible! I'd like to add to your list and ask where is the DCCC? NW Ohio is the perfect economically depressed rural backdrop to expand the Democrat base and show that the party message can resonate outside of Ohio's cities.
I also can't stand the Captain America Shield in the O of Robin's logo.
I suspect the Party/ DCCC is as embarrassed as we are, but I dont think a little money couldn't makeover her too-perky attitude and mom jeans. Latta has been a good public servant, but is frightening on the issues. Makes things complicated.
Remember that both D-Trip and ODP have very full plates this year. They have three open seats in addition to the special election in the Fifth. Boccieri in the Fourteenth and Kilroy in the Fifteenth have a real shot. The Seventh is a longshot and includes a primary contest that is already getting nasty.
In addition to all that, they have to defend Zach Space's seat in a heavily R-indexed district.
The special election for the Fifth is another longshot. In addition, it doesn't alter the chess board. That is, because it is a stand alone election, you can't force the Republicans to divert money from another race by being competitive there.
My guess is that D-trip et al are staying away because of some combination of: 1) the district indexes heavily R, 2) Weirich isn't raising enough money on her own and may show other signs of not running a credible campaign and 3) internal polls show it to be a lost cause.
BTW, the ad didn't bother me that much. OK, it's amateurish but it's a district where that can play well. What bothers me is that she hasn't raised the money to be a credible threat.
Pho,
Long time, no see. Good to hear from you man.
Actually, her ad is very similar to those put out by Paul Wellstone during his early campaigns for the U.S. Senate. Check them out:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUnnIJQYJgA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbmMlTsKo30
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