Ohio Polling Fascinating and Telling

Quinnipiac University has released a new poll on just Ohio today and it speaks volumes about the Presidential election and in particular Senator Clinton. 41% of the Ohio electorate said they would never vote for Hillary. 46% of married women and 48% of married men said they would never vote for her. I find it interesting that Quinnipiac pollsters polled married people separately. Why were they testing this question? Overall, Ohioans split 44% - 44% on favorable-unfavorable ratings. To give you a comparison, Giuliani was at 40% favorable - 28% unfavorable. The conclusion is that Hillary is as polarizing in Ohio as she is nationally.

There is bad news for Obama supporters. In a head to head match-up, Hillary spanks Obama 42%-17% among Democrats. Edwards comes in third with 14%. I believe these are name ID numbers and once Obama starts campaigning here those number will move. I just think it is time for team Obama to start moving those numbers. Kucinich came in at 4% in his home state where he doesn't spend much time anymore.

Other numbers from the poll:
  • Ohio voters disapprove 67% - 29% of the job President George W. Bush is doing, his lowest score ever in the state. This isn't really news anymore because he numbers have been so low for so long.
  • 39% of the electorate said they would never vote for Giuliani. Could these be conservatives?
  • Giuliani leads the GOP race with 27 percent to 14 percent for McCain, 13 percent for Thompson and 11 percent for Romney. Clearly the Republican race is up for grabs.
  • Is Gov. Ted Strickland qualified to be Vice-President: 49% no, 29% yes. I suspect these numbers reflect the great job Ted Strickland is doing and the desire of those polled to keep him as our governor.
Unrelated: Akron City Council President Marco Sommerville mistakenly had a loaded .38 in his luggage at Akron Canton Airport yesterday. He was permitted to continue on with his flight and was not arrested. It was reported that he did have a permit for the gun. He was on his way to the National League of Cities Conference in New Orleans.
More: AP, Akron Beacon Journal, Cleveland Plain Dealer, Eric Mansfield, Ed Esposito

15 Comments:

Blogger Kyle said...

I completely believe that Sommerville made a mistake in taking his gun in his luggage. I feel bad for him because this is the kind of quarky story that is going to get a lot of press. This story has legs because he is an elected official who had a gun and was permitted to continue on his flight without incident. People will see a double standard.

Wednesday, 14 November, 2007  
Blogger Russ said...

Akron City Council President Marco Sommerville mistakenly had a loaded .38 in his luggage at Akron Canton Airport yesterday.

Anyone who MISTAKENLY has a gun in his luggage while getting ready to board a flight is at minimum totally irresponsible and just might be, at the maximum, a complete idiot.

Wednesday, 14 November, 2007  
Anonymous Lindsay said...

The question about marriage was asked probably because regardless of your ideology, whether it is liberal or conservative, getting married tends to make a person slightly more conservative. Married people also account for a greater portion of the people that actually vote than single people do.

Wednesday, 14 November, 2007  
Blogger Kyle said...

Russ, fair point.

Lindsay, you make a good point. I just wonder if they were drawing attention to the political reality of the Clinton marriage. I wonder if the people who conducted the poll asked the question as a warning to Democrats to show how Hillary plays with the married. For example, I didn't see numbers on single women and supposedly Hillary is doing well with them.

Wednesday, 14 November, 2007  
Blogger Ben said...

One reason that poll probaly did the married / not married breakdown is because chief Clinton pollster Mark Penn keeps talking about how many married women would secretly vote for Hillary when they typically vote R

I wouldnt worry about the HRC-Obama Ohio #'s. By the time it matters what Ohio voters think in a primary the nominee will be deicded. most of that is just name recoginition i would bet

Wednesday, 14 November, 2007  
Blogger terra said...

It's scary to me that Democrats favor Hillary, but 41% Ohio electorate will REFUSE to vote for her. So if Democrats select Hillary in the primary, she has a HUGE chance of losing the General. Dems are not paying attention.

I hope more Democrats start looking into the options, instead of more of the same. Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton doesn't look like progress to me.

Friday, 16 November, 2007  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

singhalaya

Monday, 21 July, 2008  
Blogger symonds said...

Very nice to read this blog. I gathered lot of information.

-----------
symonds

Addiction Recovery Ohio

Monday, 21 July, 2008  
Blogger phyestee said...

This shows the percentages of the polling amount of people,Will this make satisfy?But the people had a very big doubt.


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kanishka
Addiction Recovery Ohio

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